Man Bites Dog
Two news items today tell a snapshot story of the Middle East. First, consider the unusually bloody car bomb that claimed 125 lives in Iraq. Second, witness the 'Cedar Revolution' in Lebanon - which can claim partial victory in the wake of the resignation of the puppet, Syrian-backed regime. (Even France is behind this.)
The first story is tragic, but too familiar. We can understand the politics behind these attacks. But the second has the shape of something new, and along with the news of Hosni Mubarak's feint towards genuine democracy could signal that events in the Middle East are beginning to acquire internal momentum.
I'm thinking of the Berlin Wall, and the crowds of Romanians that finally dragged Nicoli Ceausescu before a firing squad. The transition in Eastern Europe wasn't always smooth, but the result has been a region filled with (mostly) stable democracies.
As many have been saying, it's too early to tell. But it's not too late for the Democratic Party to do what Thomas Friedman suggested on Meet the Press yesterday, and wholeheartedly support reform.
Make no mistake, if democracy succeeds - especially if it does with the force of 1989 - it will vindicate the basic tenants of the Bush Doctrine. But it still seems politically wiser for election-minded Democrats to appear vaguely supportive, instead of sullen and bitter. If reform fails they can grin privately, while outwardly claiming it was a good idea, but horribly mismanaged.